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Hypersonic weapons : Are we heading to a new Cold war ?

Rwehny Rawan

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Both the United States and Russia have announced their position regarding nuclear weapons, so both countries are entering a so called « new age of hypersonic war ». Some speculators and specialists say that Russia’s hypersonic  weapons can render US missile defense  systems « useless ». Opinions which lead to perhaps the most urgent questions: Can Washington allow this to stand and are we now living in a new era of arm’s race?

 

In the beginning, it appears crucial to mention the Russian’s president; Mr Vladimir Putin’s speech on Thursday, March 1, 2018, in which he said that this new technology renders American’s missile defenses “useless”, but US officials still  say “it needs further testing and is not yet operational”. The opinion of the majority in the media was rather inclined to prescribe the present situation as a « new » Cold war. However, some, including the British journalist Mary Dejevsky, do believe that the president’s speech was nothing but a tool for his campaign for the presidential elections held on 18 March 2018, which he has won with an overwhelming 76.69% of the votes.

This point of view could be criticized due to the fact that the speech was supposed to be given in December 2017 but the Russians were anticipating the Nuclear posture review. For that reason, the speech wasn’t employed to the service of domestic politics as some of the media claim.

On another perspective, especially on the US-Russia relations, some consider that this declaration on the Russian side was nothing but a « warning » to the US government for their actions against Russia’s sovereignty and that Russia now has the means to defend itself from further violation. This can be proved through the speech itself when the president brought up the issue of US withdrawal from ABM (Anti-Ballistic Missile)  treaty. However, that may not be the only reason as George Szamuely, writer of Bombs for Peace: NATO’s Humanitarian War on Yugoslavia  explains. According to him, the NATO expansion right into Russia’s borders along with the « constant belligerent anti-Russian rhetoric emanating from the western capitals », are the main reasons behind the Russian decision to improve its defense measures.

From this point of view, Putin’s speech is nothing but a firm response to these factors and more combined.

Finally, and to answer the questions we asked in the beginning, there’s no arm’s race. Because according to experts, there is neither an ideological competitivity between two camps like the case was during the Cold War, neither the fever of massive producti1on of weapons we’ve seen during that period, at least not from the Russian side. They are developing more and more advanced weapons as a deterrent force against the increasing NATO’s threat. Even the budget dedicated to the defense is not comparable to the ex URSS ‘s  nor to the US’s this year. It’s really imperative to highlight that because the American President Mr Trump was the first to declare their nuclear supremacy and to increase the Pentagon’s budget to maintain this position, they can’t now accuse Russia of starting a new weapons race.

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Trump’s plan : A diplomatic shift or a humanitarian crisis ?

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What is going on ? What is happening ? Where are we ?

Are we moving towards a world where peace is an illusion , where the rights of the oppressed are systematically ignored and where forced displacement becomes an acceptable strategy ? The latest news from the Middle East paints a grim picture. Israel has openly backed Donald Trump’s plan and ordered its military to prepare for the mass departure of Palestinians from Gaza → a move that raises pressing humanitarian , legal and geopolitical concerns.

How does this go against international law and human rights ?

The Fourth Geneva Convention’s Article 49 forbids « individual or mass forcible transfers » of protected persons from occupied territories, and the Universal Declaration of Human Rights (UDHR) upholds the right to freedom of movement and the right not to be arbitrarily deprived of one’s home. If carried out, the forced displacement of Palestinians would be a blatant violation of international law undermining the Palestinian people’s sovereignty and making their decades-long struggle pointless.

The decision is seen by many as part of a larger geopolitical plot to undermine Palestinian resistance , portraying it as a lost cause rather than a legitimate struggle for sovereignty and human rights and it has the potential to erase the sacrifices made by generations of Palestinians who have fought for self-determination.

What does Trump see? Is it political gain or strategic intentions ?

According to Trump , this approach is in line with his strategic goals and ideological position. His administration , which has its roots in his « America First » philosophy , has frequently supported close ties with Israel in the name of maintaining regional stability. He would contend that by dividing warring factions and eliminating conflict zones, moving Palestinians would open the door to lasting peace. Critics , however , believe that this is only a front for more fundamental political goals, such bolstering American power in the Middle East and winning over pro-Israel lobbyists before the next election.

– In addition, Trump has a history of making decisions on his own without holding meaningful diplomatic talks. Although he frames his plan as a peace initiative , its unilaterality and disdain for Palestinian opinions raise questions about whether it actually seeks to ease tensions or imposes a predetermined solution that benefits Israel and the United States.

Why did Egypt’s Sisi resist the plan ?

Egyptian President Abdel Fattah el-Sisi rejected any proposal that would involve the depopulation of Gaza , reaffirming Egypt’s commitment to Palestinian self-determination and territorial integrity. Egypt has historically played a crucial role in mediating Israeli-Palestinian tensions and has consistently opposed any solution that undermines Palestinian sovereignty. In a significant regional response to the Trump-backed plan , Sisi refused to meet with Trump if discussions included the exploitation of Palestinian territories.

→ This rejection demonstrates the growing uneasiness among Arab leaders who perceive Trump’s proposal as a grave danger to the stability of the region. Egypt , which is already dealing with economic difficulties and internal security issues , sees forced relocation as a trigger for additional instability that could lead to regional turmoil.

Global reactions : a divided international response Countries like France and Germany have reiterated their support for a two-state solution , warning that such a move could fuel extremism and destabilize the region. Europe and human rights organizations have strongly condemned the policy , calling it an outright violation of Palestinian sovereignty and an obstacle to peace. The wide range of reactions to the plan reflects deep global divisions.

While some U.S. politicians criticize Trump’s approach, others, especially those with strong pro-Israel affiliations , defend it as a strategic move to ensure regional stability.

Meanwhile, Arab countries remain at a crossroads, with some such as Saudi Arabia and Jordan cautiously expressing opposition to any forced displacement while others have yet to take a firm stance. The potential consequences of their decisions will have a significant impact on future diplomatic relations with Israel. On the other hand , Israel’s Western allies, especially the United States, have tried to frame the plan as a necessary security measure.

Conclusion: a precarious turning point !

Netanyahu’s support of Trump’s Gaza plan marks a dramatic change in Israeli policy with far-reaching effects on the region. Although it has the potential to change the geopolitical landscape, it is still unclear how this bold move will affect Palestinians and international relations in general. As reactions from around the world develop , it will be difficult to predict whether it will lead to a lasting peace or further entrench divisions and spark conflict. The fate of Palestine cannot be decided unilaterally and any attempt to do so runs the risk of escalating tensions rather than resolving them.

 

Written by roukaya berbeche

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